01592731

Component

Recent court cases and news reports on transit projects have focused on the effects of construction on business revenue and survival, yet the topic remains underexplored in the scholarly literature. This thesis examines whether transit construction negatively affected businesses’ revenue and survival along the second segment of the Los Angeles Metro Rail Red Line under Vermont and Hollywood Boulevards. Using regression analysis on National Establishment Time-Series data, the author finds that business survival was lower along the corridor than for the county as a whole, and significantly lower around stations, where cut and cover construction was used. Location near stations was also correlated with revenue decreases during the early construction period and with revenue increases following construction. These findings suggest that revenue loss from transit construction occurs but may not be the main mechanism by which businesses are displaced and that further research is needed to understand the source of community concerns.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ADD10 Standing Committee on Transportation and Economic Development.

01584066

16-3169

English

19p

2016

Transportation Research Board 95th Annual Meeting

Digital/other

Figures; Maps; References; Tables

Businesses; Construction; Impacts; Line extensions (Rail transit); Location; Rail transit stations; Regression analysis; Revenues; Time series analysis; Transit oriented development; Urban renewal

Economic displacement; Proximity

Los Angeles (California)

Construction; Economics; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2016 Paper #16-3169

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 12 2016 5:25PM