01590224

Component

Runway incursions continue to be an aviation safety concern. Between 2001 and 2014 there were 15,278 runway incursions at United States airports ranging in size from small general aviation (GA) to large commercial airline hubs. In June 2015, the FAA announced the Runway Incursion Mitigation (RIM) program to identify airport risk factors that might contribute to a runway incursion and develop strategies to help airport stakeholders mitigate those risks. Budget is always a constraint for airport improvements, so it is important to have systematic methods to prioritize resource allocation and identify which technologies to invest in. This paper uses econometrics based modelling techniques to identify statistically significant factors in data provided by the FAA Runway Safety Office – Runway Incursions (RWS). The model identified statistically significant findings between airports categories defined by the National Plan of Integrated Airport Systems (NPIAS). Overall, the model showed that incursion characteristics differ depending on the category of airport. Only one variable, “number of years since 2001”, was found to be significant for all the three airport categories for severity A incursions. This suggests that the factors that correlate with runway incursions vary depending on the size of the airport and the incursion severity. As a result, the most appropriate countermeasures will vary depending on the category of airport. For example, operational incidents are more likely at large airports. In contrast, at GA/non-hub airports, pilot deviations were significant in severity C and D, perhaps because the pilots who utilize these airports are recreational and business users who might be unfamiliar with the airport layout and their respective hotspots.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AV070 Standing Committee on Aircraft/Airport Compatibility.

01584066

16-2285

English

16p

2016

Transportation Research Board 95th Annual Meeting

Digital/other

Figures; References; Tables

Aviation safety; Logits; Risk management; Runway incursions

Aviation; Safety and Human Factors; Terminals and Facilities; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning; I80: Accident Studies

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2016 Paper #16-2285

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 12 2016 5:01PM