01587649

Component

Travel demand modelling has a long history going back to 50s when the conventional 4-step modelling structure was introduced and developed for Chicago and Detroit, USA. However, the first travel demand models for freight movements were not developed until 40 years after the first models for passenger cars. Freight models are yet limited to studies looking at goods movements by truck and rail. This paper explores the effectiveness of the conventional travel demand modelling techniques for maritime container movements. Two approaches for modelling the movement of trade in the global maritime container network are discussed. The conventional methods of trip generation and distribution are applied in a sequential model, and compared against an alternative joint model methodology. Results show that the sequential methodology achieves high accuracy, while the joint methodology reveals more detailed trade relationships.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AW010 Standing Committee on Ports and Channels.

01584066

16-1288

English

21p

2016

Transportation Research Board 95th Annual Meeting

Digital/other

Figures; References; Tables

Container traffic; International trade; Shipping; Travel demand; Trip distribution; Trip generation; Water transportation

Freight Transportation; Marine Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2016 Paper #16-1288

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 12 2016 4:34PM