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Title:

International Cargo Flow under Improved Border-Crossing Services in Central Asia

Accession Number:

01554436

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Abstract:

This paper analyzes the expected impacts of improving border-crossing services on international freight transport in Central Asia (CA). It develops a freight traffic network-assignment model based on the user equilibrium principle and incorporating traffic congestion in the railway network and at national borders. The model covers the global transportation network, which has a total length of 2,909,252 km of roads and 128,729 km of railways in addition to maritime transport. Two cases are simulated by combining the developed network-assignment model with the global general equilibrium model. The baseline case is defined as when no border-crossing service improvements are made in CA and there is no change in transportation costs, and the improvement case assumes that border-crossing service improvements are made and transportation costs change. Trade volumes and costs are simulated in 2010, 2015, and 2020 through sequential computation. The results show that border-crossing service improvement decreases international transportation costs and significantly changes railway transportation pattern especially from East Asia to CA, whereas interregional road transport can be decreased in spite of the crossing border time reduction. The analysis thus suggests that further improvement of Central Asian transportation services is a prerequisite for the sustainable growth of regional trade.

Supplemental Notes:

Alternate title: International Freight Transportation Demand Under Improved Border-Crossing Services in Central Asia. This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AT020 International Trade and Transportation.

Monograph Accession #:

01550057

Report/Paper Numbers:

15-2897

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Tanabe, Satoshi
Shibasaki, Ryuichi
Kato, Hironori

Pagination:

13p

Publication Date:

2015

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 94th Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2015-1-11 to 2015-1-15
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

Digital/other

Features:

Figures; Maps; References; Tables

Geographic Terms:

Central Asia

Subject Areas:

Economics; Freight Transportation; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Railroads; I10: Economics and Administration; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2015 Paper #15-2897

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Dec 30 2014 12:58PM