01519354

Component

This paper takes a closer look at the determinants of public transportation demand and the role of ambient urban and geographical conditions. The hypothesis to be tested is that green and livable cities entail a higher use of public transport than observed in car-centered cities. However, a look into time series data for European cities uncovers that past mobility trends have been less in favor of public transport as a few prominent examples and the vast amount of subsidies flowing into the sector would suggest. To test this hypothesis, an ordinary least square (OLS) model has been developed in two phases. First, a simple supply side model has been established, to which in a second phase urban ambient and geographical variables have been added. For 37 European and five world cities it is found that green areas and the presence of bicycle parking facilities have a significant and positive impact on public transport mode share. Looking to world cities the model provides even more positive impacts of these variables on the model fit than in the case of the European cities. These findings lead to the recommendation to integrate transport system and wider local land use and development processes.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AP025 Public Transportation Planning and Development.

01503729

14-4047

English

21p

2014

Transportation Research Board 93rd Annual Meeting

Digital/other

Figures; Maps; References; Tables

Behavior; Bicycles; Demand; Land use planning; Livability; Mobility; Modal split; Parking facilities; Public transit

Europe

Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2014 Paper #14-4047

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 27 2014 3:24PM