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Title:

Method for Modeling Crash Severity with Observable Crash Data

Accession Number:

01514507

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

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Washington, DC 20001 United States

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309295253

Abstract:

This paper presents a new method to rank the severity of an impact with a roadside hazard that is based on observable crash data. This method has been incorporated into the third update of the Roadside Safety Analysis Program. The equivalent fatal crash cost ratio (EFCCR) is a dimensionless value that represents the severity of a crash on a scale of zero to unity, where zero represents no chance of injury and unity represents absolute certainty of a fatal injury. The method uses a census of police-reported data, which ideally covers a range of speed limits. The purpose is to determine the severity distribution of crashes in cases in which no events preceded the crashes with the hazard under evaluation and which did not result in a penetration or a rollover. The number of unreported crashes is estimated and added into the severity distribution with the assumption that the number represents crashes that led to property damage only. The average expected crash cost is then calculated and normalized to a reference speed of 65 mph so that it is directly comparable to EFCCR values calculated for other types of hazards. Unlike the earlier subjective severity index method, the new EFCCR method has its basis in observed crash data and uses a systematic approach to calculate crash severities that can be used in benefit–cost and other safety analyses.

Monograph Accession #:

01543380

Report/Paper Numbers:

14-1142

Language:

English

Authors:

Ray, Malcolm H
Carrigan, Christine E
Plaxico, Chuck A

Pagination:

pp 1–9

Publication Date:

2014

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2437
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309295253

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures (1) ; References (22) ; Tables (7)

Uncontrolled Terms:

Subject Areas:

Design; Highways; Safety and Human Factors; I20: Design and Planning of Transport Infrastructure; I82: Accidents and Transport Infrastructure

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Jan 27 2014 2:27PM

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