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Title:

Full Bayes Before-and-After Evaluation of Traffic Safety Improvements in City of Edmonton, Canada

Accession Number:

01478084

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

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Washington, DC 20001 United States
Order URL: http://www.trb.org/main/blurbs/170273.aspx

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309287036

Abstract:

The objective of this study was to evaluate the safety performance of a sample of intersections that had been improved with the implementation of certain safety countermeasures targeting right-turn collisions in the city of Edmonton, Canada. A full Bayes approach was used to determine the effectiveness of the improvements by employing a before-and-after design with matched (yoked) comparison groups. Three linear intervention models were considered: a multivariate model that modeled treatment effects as a gradual change, a similar model with the addition of a jump treatment effect, and a univariate model that specifically analyzed right-turn collisions. The results indicated that the safety improvement program was effective; up to 40% of right-turn collisions were reduced. Despite the small sample size, these reductions were statistically significant. The results show the usefulness of the full Bayes technique in performing before-and-after evaluations of traffic treatment programs and in eliminating the need for a reference population and also in allowing for additional types of analysis, including multivariate analysis (modeling collisions of different types and severities at the same time), temporal effects (for both treatment and long-term trends), and greater freedom in the selection of error structure.

Monograph Accession #:

01514599

Report/Paper Numbers:

13-4869

Language:

English

Authors:

Li, Simon Chun-Yin
Sayed, Tarek
El-Basyouny, Karim

Pagination:

pp 189–194

Publication Date:

2013

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2386
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309287036

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures (1) ; References (22) ; Tables (5)

Identifier Terms:

Uncontrolled Terms:

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Data and Information Technology; Highways; Safety and Human Factors; I80: Accident Studies

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Feb 5 2013 12:56PM

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