01478125

Component

https://doi.org/10.3141/2350-06

http://scholar.google.com...ency&publication_year=2013

An integrated intervening opportunities model (IIOM) was developed for public transit (PT) trips. This model is generation–distribution and supply-dependent, with single constraints only on trip production values for work and study PT trips made during morning peak hours (6:00 to 9:00 a.m.) within the Island of Montreal, Quebec, Canada. Several data sets, including the 2008 origin–destination survey of the Greater Montreal Area, 2006 census of Canada, General Transit Feed Specification network data, and school enrollment data, along with the geographical data of the Greater Montreal Area, were used. The IIOM is a nonlinear model with sociodemographic, socioeconomic, and PT supply characteristics, as well as work and study spatial location attributes. Analysis of the modeling performance by means of several goodness-of-fit measures showed that the IIOM was well behaved (i.e., globally it had good prediction capabilities) and more accurate than the classical gravity model. On the basis of explanatory variables used in the IIOM, the study presents a new tool for PT analysts, planners, and policy makers for studying potential changes in PT trip patterns, as a result of changes in sociodemographic and socioeconomic characteristics, PT supply, and so on. Also, this study opens new opportunities for development of more accurate PT demand models with new emergent data such as smartcard entries.

01505790

13-2986

English

pp 47–57

2013

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

9780309287005

Print

Figures (5) ; Maps; References (35) ; Tables (3)

Gravity models; Origin and destination; Peak periods; Public transit; Socioeconomic factors; Supply; Trip generation

Montreal (Canada)

Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

PRP, TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Feb 5 2013 12:36PM

• Comparative Analysis of Personal Rapid Transit as an Urban Transportation Mode
• Effects of Scale and Boundary Selection in Assessing Equity of Transit Supply Distribution
• Framework for Innovative Public Spaces
• Generating Route-Level Mutually Exclusive Service Areas: Comparative Study of Alternative Methods
• High-Quality Public Transport and Promotion of Nonmotorized Transport—Compromise or Complement? An Analytical Approach for Assessing Conflicts
• Modeling the Practical Capacity of Escalators: A Behavioral Approach to Pedestrian Simulation
• New Rail Hubs Along High-Speed Rail Corridor in California: Urban Design Challenges
• Restructuring from a Central Business District–Focused to a Decentralized Transit System: Case Study of StarMetro in Tallahassee, Florida, to Determine Restructuring Effects on Riders and Accessibility to Destinations
• Riding More Frequently: Estimating Disaggregate Ridership Elasticity for a Large Urban Bus Transit Network
• Robust Dynamic Distribution of Security Assets in Transit Systems
• Silver Line Bus Rapid Transit in Boston, Massachusetts: Impacts on Sale Prices of Condominiums Along Washington Street
• Transfer Synchronization of Public Transport Networks
• User Satisfaction of Intermodal Transfer Facilities in Lisbon, Portugal: Analysis with Structural Equations Modeling
• Users’ Evaluation of Rail Systems in Mass Events: Case Study in Mecca, Saudi Arabia
• Who Rides Airport Railways? The Case of London City Airport