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Title: Comparison of Time-Dependent Sequential Logit and Nested Logit for Modeling Hurricane Evacuation Demand
Accession Number: 01363057
Record Type: Component
Record URL: Availability: Transportation Research Board Business Office 500 Fifth Street, NW Find a library where document is available Abstract: Models that predict hurricane evacuation demand can play a crucial role in developing and evaluating alternative evacuation policies and plans. However, to evaluate alternative policies effectively, evacuation demand models should be sensitive to time varying characteristics of a storm and the contextual conditions surrounding an evacuee. The time-dependent sequential logit is one such model, but it makes use of restrictive assumptions about the dynamic choices made by evacuees. A new model, a time-dependent nested logit model, relaxes those assumptions. It was formulated and derived in this study, and its performance was then compared with that of the time-dependent sequential logit model by applying both models to data from Hurricane Gustav. The results indicated that the time-dependent nested logit model has better predictive capability than the time-dependent sequential logit model.
Monograph Title: Monograph Accession #: 01470175
Report/Paper Numbers: 12-3959
Language: English
Authors: Gudishala, RavindraWilmot, ChesterPagination: pp 134–140
Publication Date: 2012
ISBN: 9780309263108
Media Type: Print
Features: Figures; References; Tables
TRT Terms: Identifier Terms: Uncontrolled Terms: Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Security and Emergencies; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning
Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
Created Date: Feb 8 2012 5:20PM
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