01340639

Component

Policy integration has become a high-priority objective for many in transportation and planning, but existing research offers limited insight into how integration could actually be achieved. At the same time, many organizations have adopted scenario planning, not only to develop long-term strategy, but also—potentially—to build organizational capacity and strengthen organizational networks. Yet these supposed outcomes of scenario planning remain largely untested. This study seeks to remedy this situation by examining the potential of scenario planning as a means to encourage collaboration between participants. This study analyzes how one scenario planning process, undertaken with stakeholders around the issue of urban revitalization in Portugal, affects participants’ propensity for future collaboration. Using a pre-/post-test survey, the authors attempt to measure change in participants’ perceptions and understandings with respect to factors that lead to collaboration. The results suggest that the process may have increased participants’ propensity to collaborate, primarily by strengthening inter-agency networks. However, the effects on participants’ understanding of the issue and context remain inconclusive. Further empirical research on these outcomes is needed if scenario planning is to be viewed as a mechanism for collaboration.

01329018

11-2853

English

18p

2011

Transportation Research Board 90th Annual Meeting

DVD

Figures (3) ; References (38) ; Tables (5)

Cooperation; Forecasting; Integrated systems; Interagency relations; Organizational effectiveness; Policy making; Transportation planning

Revitalization (Communities); Scenario planning

Portugal

Administration and Management; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2011 Paper #11-2853

TRIS, TRB

Feb 17 2011 6:19PM