01337427

Component

The increasing passenger movements and airport congestion encourage airlines to seek alternative travel routes from China to the United States of America. Air passenger demand estimation is an important element for the feasibility studies of launching potential air travel routes. In this paper, several gravity models have been proposed to analyze the passenger demand on existing route while the outcomes can be used to forecast passenger demand on alternative routes. Several combinations of Geo-economic variables are considered in the models to eliminate the multicolinearity effect among the variables and improve the model fit. The interaction of airports in close vicinity is considered by including additional variables in extended models. It is found that airports in close vicinity tend to have collaborative rather than competitive effect for attracting air passengers. It is also found that travel generation is dissimilar for the studied airports and spoke airports which are connected to those airports. Different formulation of gravity models should be explored for forecasting air passenger demand from spoke airports.

The DVD lists the title of this paper as: Analysis of Air Passenger Demand Between United States and China.

01329018

11-2420

English

14p

2011

Transportation Research Board 90th Annual Meeting

DVD

References (9) ; Tables (7)

Air routes; Air transportation; Airport operations; Cooperation; Gravity models; Hub and spoke systems; Traffic forecasting; Travel demand

Airport congestion

Passenger demand

China; United States

Aviation; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2011 Paper #11-2420

TRIS, TRB

Feb 17 2011 6:09PM