01044666

Monograph

http://www.trb.org/Publications/Blurbs/158684.aspx

This synthesis reviews current practices and methods in airport activity forecasting in the United States. The study addresses how airport forecasts are used and identifies common aviation metrics, aviation data sources, issues in data collection and preparation, and special data issues at nontowered airports. It includes an overview and discussion of available forecasting methods, including the primary statistical methods; market share analysis; econometric modeling; and time series modeling. The report focuses on appropriate forecasting methods, providing examples of actual airport forecasting studies. Evaluation of forecasts is also provided, including assessments of forecast uncertainty, accuracy, issues of optimism bias, and options for resolving differences when multiple forecasts are available. This synthesis reviews academic and professional literature on forecasting, as well as airport master plans, state airport system plans, and other sources of information showing how forecasts of aviation activity are produced.

Project 11-03, Topic S03-01

English

40p

2007

ACRP Synthesis of Airport Practice

9780309097826

Print

Figures (2) ; Tables (2)

Accuracy; Airports; Aviation; Data collection; Econometric models; Forecasting; Literature reviews; Market share; Master plans; Statistical analysis; Time series analysis; Uncertainty

Data sources; Nontowered airports

United States

Aviation; Data and Information Technology; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Terminals and Facilities

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Mar 29 2007 8:59PM