TRB Pubsindex
Text Size:
x

« Prev Next »

Return to Results | New Search

Bookmark and Share

Title:

DYNAMIC MODELING OF AIRPORT ACTIVITY

Accession Number:

00184219

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Find a library where document is available


Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/03611981

Abstract:

This paper discusses problems encountered in modeling airport activity and particularly emphasizes forward planning and policy making. It is concerned with the relations among airlines, airports, and users (passengers and freight). Three simple models of activity are indicated, dealing successively with capacity, investment, and pricing. A basic need is creating a workable typology of airports in which attributes other than size may be considered. A second requirement is considering the importance of fluctuations in airport output. We used multivariate analysis of data for the leading British airports in the period 1968 to 1972 to develop a successful typology, which is essentially applicable to other national airport systems. It stresses the differences between scheduled and non-scheduled activity. Correlations among definitve output variables are used as input to principal components and factor analysis to derive the typology. Output is then disaggregated by the use of a corrected moving mean to give seasonal and trend components. These are used for analyzing growth and growth variability and for studying the stability over time of seasonal variations. In addition, we note positive links between non-scheduled activity and output variability. The implications of planning are demonstrated, in particular the close association among nonscheduled activity, variability, and predictability. The variable associations also indicate possible investment scenarios for the airport manager and the airport modeler. /Author/

Supplemental Notes:

Publication of this paper sponsored by Special Committee on Air Transport Activities of the Transportation Research Board. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

Monograph Accession #:

01411497

Authors:

Ashford, Norman
Boothby, John
McGinity, P D

Pagination:

pp 11-17

Publication Date:

1977

Serial:

Transportation Research Record

Issue Number: 655
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

Conference:

56th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board

Location: Washington District of Columbia, United States
Date: 1977-1-24 to 1977-1-28

ISBN:

0309026849

Media Type:

Digital/other

Features:

Figures (7) ; References (18) ; Tables (7)

Uncontrolled Terms:

Models; Seasonal variations

Old TRIS Terms:

Subject Areas:

Aviation; Freight Transportation; Highways; Passenger Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Terminals and Facilities

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Dec 29 1978 12:00AM

More Articles from this Serial Issue: