00985854

Component

https://doi.org/10.3141/1895-16

http://scholar.google.com...Sabb&publication_year=2004

Quick response travel forecasting techniques have been applied extensively since they became prevalent in the late 1970s. These techniques involve using transferable parameters developed from survey and other empirical data to assist transportation planners to model small urban areas with populations greater than 50,000. The usefulness of the quick response techniques and parameters that are currently in wide application are questionable for cities in rural counties because they were not originally designed for use in areas with populations of fewer than 50,000 people. The research described addresses a critical need for planning tools oriented to smaller cities. This project focused on developing transferable travel demand forecasting parameters that targeted areas of the state of South Carolina with diverse populations and per capita incomes lower than the national average. The findings of this project should allow planners throughout rural areas of South Carolina and similar states to make more reliable estimates of future traffic identified in long-range plans. The calibrated parameters also should be useful for cities in other states that have fewer than 50,000 people and that have demographic and socioeconomic characteristics similar to those of the cities that were modeled as part of this research.

This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1895, Transportation Planning and Analysis 2004.

00985838

English

p. 117-124

2004

Transportation Research Record

0309094925

Figures (3) ; References (14) ; Tables (6)

Calibration; Demographics; Forecasting; Long range planning; Mathematical models; Rural areas; Small cities; Socioeconomic factors; Travel demand; Validation

South Carolina

Economics; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Society; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Feb 9 2005 12:00AM

• ASSESSING SAFETY IMPACTS OF LONG-RANGE PLANS IN SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED COMMUNITIES
• BAY AREA RAPID TRANSIT'S SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA, INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT STATION: ASSESSMENT OF TRANSIT PATRONAGE AND REVENUE FORECASTS
• CHICAGO, ILLINOIS, SMART GROWTH STUDY
• CORRIDOR PRESERVATION: BEST PRACTICES FOR LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
• DELIVERING BEST VALUE HIGHWAY PERFORMANCE
• DEVELOPMENT OF AN EMPIRICALLY BASED AREA-TYPE MODEL
• ESTIMATING EFFECT OF TIME-RELATED FACTORS ON TRANSIT USE WITH A LARGE-SCALE MOBILITY SURVEY AND TRANSIT INFORMATION
• EVALUATION OF NETWORK PRELOADS ON A MEDIUM-SIZED URBAN TRAVEL FORECAST MODEL
• FORECASTS OF FUTURE VEHICLE MILES OF TRAVEL IN THE UNITED STATES
• GAP ANALYSIS OF PUBLIC TRANSPORT NEEDS: MEASURING SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF PUBLIC TRANSPORT NEEDS AND IDENTIFYING GAPS IN THE QUALITY OF PUBLIC TRANSPORT PROVISION
• GROWTH VISIONING FOR THE WESTSIDE CITIES OF LOS ANGELES COUNTY, CALIFORNIA: LAND USE AND TRANSPORTATION FACTORS INFLUENCING CONGESTION AND JOBS-HOUSING IMBALANCES
• IDENTIFYING OPPORTUNITIES FOR INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS APPLICATIONS IN CALIFORNIA'S NATIONAL PARKS: PROJECT OVERVIEW AND SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATIONS
• INTEGRATED MODELING APPROACH TO TOTAL INCIDENT DELAY
• MEASURING CONGESTION: LEARNING FROM OPERATIONAL DATA
• METROPOLITAN PLANNING ORGANIZATION VOTING STRUCTURE AND TRANSIT INVESTMENT BIAS: PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS WITH SOCIAL EQUITY IMPLICATIONS
• MODELING COMMERCIAL VEHICLE TRAVEL
• MONTANA SECONDARY PROGRAM REFORM AND APPLICATION OF GOALS ACHIEVEMENT METHODOLOGY TO PROJECT PRIORITIZATION
• PERFORMANCE MEASURES FOR EVALUATING TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS: STAKEHOLDER PERSPECTIVE
• SCHOOL LOCATION AND STUDENT TRAVEL: ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING MODE CHOICE
• THE TROUBLE WITH INTERCITY TRAVEL DEMAND MODELS
• TOURISM BUSINESS AND INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS: ACADIA NATIONAL PARK, MAINE
• TRANSPORTATION UTILITY FEE: OREGON EXPERIENCE
• UNDERSTANDING AND MANAGING CONFLICT IN TRANSPORTATION PROJECT PUBLIC INVOLVEMENT
• USING GLOBAL POSITIONING SYSTEM DATA TO UNDERSTAND DAY-TO-DAY DYNAMICS OF MORNING COMMUTE BEHAVIOR
• VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION'S DASHBOARD PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT AND REPORTING SYSTEM: GOING THE FULL MONTY