00648188

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...nf/1994/cp1/cp1-v2-018.pdf

The rate of pavement deterioration is uncertain, and a pavement management system (PMS) should portray this rate of deterioration as uncertain. A wide variety of PMSs are used, but unfortunately either these systems do not use a formalized procedure to determine the pavement condition rating, or they use deterministic pavement performance prediction models, or they assign the pavement state transition probabilities on the basis of experience. The objective of the research was to develop a probabilistic network-level PMS on the basis of pavement performance prediction with use of the Markov process. Pavements with similar characteristics are grouped together to define the pavement families, and the prediction models are developed at a family level. The pavement condition index (PCI), ranging from 0 to 100, is divided into 10 equal states. The results from the Markov model are fed into the dynamic programming model and the output from the dynamic programming is a list of optimal maintenance and repair (M&R) recommendations for each pavement family-state combination. If there are no constraints on the available budget, the M&R recommendations from the dynamic programming will give a true, optimal budget. However, because the budgets available are usually less than the needs, two prioritization programs have been developed to allocate the constrained budgets in an optimal way. The first prioritization program is based on simple ranking of the weighted optimal benefit/cost ratios, and the second is based on the incremental benefit/cost ratio. The output from the two programs is a list of sections to be repaired, type of M&R alternatives selected, cost of M&R alternatives, and section network benefits. The results from the two prioritization methodologies are compared through an actual implementation on an existing airfield pavement network. The prioritization using the incremental benefit/cost ratio program uses the available constrained budget to the best of the full limit. To maintain a specified network PCI, the optimal benefit/cost ratio program will spend less money than the incremental benefit/cost ratio program. The developed optimization programs are very dynamic and robust for network-level PMSs.

The proceedings of the Third International Conference on Managing Pavements is published in three volumes. Volumes 1 and 2, published prior to the conference, include papers to be presented at the conference. Volume 3, published after the conference, contains additional papers presented at the plenary and workshop sessions. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

English

p. 159-172

1994

CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS 1

Third International Conference on Managing Pavements

0309055024

Figures (12) ; References (4) ; Tables (4)

Airport runways; Benefit cost analysis; Conferences; Dynamic programming; Evaluation; Implementation; Maintenance; Markov processes; Mathematical prediction; Networks; Optimization; Pavement management systems; Pavement performance; Pavements; Performance; Ratings; Recommendations; Strategic planning

Models; Pavement conditions; Performance prediction

Aviation; Data and Information Technology; Design; Highways; Maintenance and Preservation; Pavements; Research; Terminals and Facilities; I22: Design of Pavements, Railways and Guideways; I23: Properties of Road Surfaces

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jun 7 1994 12:00AM

• ARIZONA AIRPORT PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
• BURLINGTON ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE MANAGEMENT
• CASE STUDY OF BENEFITS ACHIEVED FROM IMPROVED MANAGEMENT OF PAVEMENT FACILITIES
• CONSIDERATIONS FOR DEVELOPING AND SUPPORTING APPROPRIATE PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SOFTWARE FOR END USERS
• CONTRACT ROAD MAINTENANCE IN AUSTRALIA: A PILOT STUDY
• DESCRIPTION AND IMPLEMENTATION OF RO.MA. FOR URBAN ROAD AND HIGHWAY NETWORK MAINTENANCE
• DESIGN OF PROJECT SELECTION PROCEDURE BASED ON EXPERT SYSTEMS AND NETWORK OPTIMIZATION
• DEVELOPING A CUSTOMIZED PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM FOR PORT ORANGE, FLORIDA
• DEVELOPMENT OF EFFECTIVE MAINTENANCE STRATEGIES FOR MUNICIPALITIES IN THAILAND
• DEVELOPMENT OF PAVEMENT MAINTENANCE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM FOR A ROAD NETWORK
• ENHANCEMENTS TO THE NETWORK OPTIMIZATION SYSTEM
• FLORIDA AIRPORT SYSTEM PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT PROGRAM
• FUTURE DIRECTIONS AND NEED FOR INNOVATION IN PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT
• HOW DECISION MAKERS AT VARIOUS LEVELS USE OUTPUT FROM THE DANISH PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM, BELMAN
• IMPLEMENTATION OF A CALIBRATION PROCEDURE FOR FALLING WEIGHT DEFLECTOMETERS
• IMPLEMENTATION OF PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS TO OPTIMIZE WORK PROGRAMS FOR LOCAL GOVERNMENT AUTHORITIES IN AUSTRALIA
• INVESTIGATION INTO OBSERVATIONAL VARIATIONS IN PAVEMENT CONDITION SURVEY
• LONG-TERM COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM IMPLEMENTATION
• MAKING OPTIMIZATION PRACTICAL IN PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS: LESSONS FROM LEADING-EDGE PROJECTS
• NETWORK PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM USING DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING: APPLICATION TO IOWA STATE INTERSTATE NETWORK
• NEW APPROACH TO DEFINING PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT IMPLEMENTATION STEPS
• NEW ZEALAND EXPERIENCE IN COMPARING MANUAL AND AUTOMATIC PAVEMENT CONDITION RATING SYSTEMS
• NORWEGIAN PUBLIC ROADS ADMINISTRATION: A COMPLETE PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM IN OPERATION
• OVERVIEW OF INSTITUTIONAL ISSUES IN PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT IMPLEMENTATION AND USE
• PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT AS PART OF STRATEGIC ROAD MANAGEMENT
• PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS LEAD THE WAY FOR INFRASTRUCTURE MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
• QUALITY STANDARDS FOR RELIABLE PAVEMENT ROUGHNESS EVALUATION
• REPEATABILITY AND REPRODUCIBILITY OF MANUAL PAVEMENT DISTRESS SURVEY METHODS
• ROAD SURFACE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
• ROLE AND DEVELOPMENT OF A PAVEMENT CONSTRUCTION HISTORY DATA BASE WITHIN A PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
• ROLE OF MPOS IN PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT
• ROLES FOR A REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLANNING AGENCY IN COUNTERING LOCAL AGENCY INSTITUTIONAL PROBLEMS IN ADOPTION AND USE OF PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
• STRATEGY FOR DEVELOPMENT AND IMPLEMENTATION OF ROAD MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS IN THE SOUTHERN AFRICA DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY REGION
• USING INNOVATIVE MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUES IN IMPLEMENTING PAVEMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS