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Title: FORECASTING TRAFFIC AT SMALLER AIRPORTS IN A FREE MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Accession Number: 00647253
Record Type: Component
Availability: Find a library where document is available Abstract: Many small airports in the United Kingdom are competing for traffic. Ideally, forecasts for these airports should be made by applying behavioral models of airport choice to national forecasts. Although the U.K. Civil Aviation Authority has attempted this approach, it is difficult to retain sufficient accuracy to deal with the smaller airports. A two-stage method of analysis has been proposed that combines the simplicity of a "step-down" method with the accuracy of discrete choice models. The stability of regional shares of national traffic has been demonstrated for subcategories of traffic. The adequacy of discrete choice models to predict local airport shares, when applied to traffic generated within a region, has also been demonstrated by means of a case study. The two-stage approach is therefore recommended for consideration by airports wishing to determine their potential traffic in a competitive market.
Supplemental Notes: This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1423, Airport Planning, Operation, and Management. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved
Monograph Title: Monograph Accession #: 01398726
Language: English
Authors: Caves, Robert EPagination: p. 1-7
Publication Date: 1993
Serial: ISBN: 0309055709
Features: Figures
(1)
; References
(13)
; Tables
(5)
TRT Terms: Uncontrolled Terms: Geographic Terms: Old TRIS Terms: Subject Areas: Aviation; Highways; Planning and Forecasting
Files: TRIS, TRB
Created Date: Apr 29 1994 12:00AM
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