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Title:

AVIATION FORECASTING METHODOLOGY. PART I - PRESENT AVIATION FORECASTING METHODOLOGIES. AIRPORT OPERATOR METHODOLOGY

Accession Number:

00494550

Record Type:

Component

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/00978515

Abstract:

The author discussed forecasting methodology at the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey. She indicated that forecasts are prepared to meet two pragmatic objectives: financial planning and facility planning. She noted that the substantial modernization under way at the three major New York-New Jersey area airports attests to the need for accuracy and realism in forecasts of airport revenue, costs, and capital programs. She also noted that both airside and landside planning depend on aviation activity forecasts. She indicated that the Port Authority uses a blend of econometric and demographic approaches, and that alternative scenarios have also been helpful in understanding the influence of key assumptions more clearly. She discussed new hubbing forecast methods as well as several new short-term forecasting approaches under study. She stated that the Port Authority is required to make long term forecasts to the year 2050.

Supplemental Notes:

Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Herman, A

Pagination:

p. 39-41

Publication Date:

1989-8

Serial:

Transportation Research Circular

Issue Number: 348
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0097-8515

Media Type:

Digital/other

Features:

Figures (2)

Subject Areas:

Aviation; Highways; Planning and Forecasting

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

May 31 1990 12:00AM

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