|
Title: PASSENGERS' CHOICE OF AIRPORT: AN APPLICATION OF THE MULTINOMIAL LOGIT MODEL
Accession Number: 00476123
Record Type: Component
Availability: Find a library where document is available Abstract: The authors sought to establish that airports do not have "catchment areas" as such and that air travelers make choices among available airports when they elect to travel. A model that describes this choice mechanism will permit airport systems to be planned on a more reliable basis. This work develops a model for passengers in central England based on data collected in 1975 and 1978 by the Civil Aviation Authority. The model chosen was one of discrete behavioral choice; the particular form that was successfully calibrated was the multinomial logit model. For business and inclusive tour travel, the most important variables of choice were access time to the airport and frequency to the chosen destination. For domestic and leisure trips there were three factors: air fare, access time, and frequency of available flights, in that order of importance. The calibrated model showed high agreement between observed and predicted market shares. The model was also found to be transferable to data from a separate survey of air travel from the London area. The model is expected to be of use to airport authorities and airlines in planning and determining business strategy in the increasingly competitive deregulated environment of air transport.
Supplemental Notes: Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Aviation Economics and Forecasting. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved
Monograph Title: Monograph Accession #: 01418190
Authors: Ashford, NormanBenchemam, MessaoudPagination: pp 1-5
Publication Date: 1988
Serial: Conference:
67th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board
Location:
Washington District of Columbia, United States ISBN: 030904653X
Media Type: Print
Features: References
(7)
; Tables
(7)
TRT Terms: Uncontrolled Terms: Old TRIS Terms: Subject Areas: Aviation; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Terminals and Facilities
Files: TRIS, TRB
Created Date: Sep 30 1988 12:00AM
More Articles from this Serial Issue:
|