00457724

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...ate-of-the-art/3/3-007.pdf

A risk estimation approach is described for generating a risk profile of the rail transportation of any hazardous material on any route. The approach emphasizes the risk attributable to accidents involving large releases (i.e., derailments and collisions on main lines and in yards). Risk profiles for various hazardous materials or for various routes can be combined. The approach makes use of a specially derived model for the probability distribution of the number of cars experiencing a release in such an accident. As an illustration this model is applied to a route on which chlorine and liquefied petroleum gas are transported. The approach also relies on a number of consequence models for the various scenarios under which the hazardous materials of interest may be released in an accident. The effects described by these models are combined with the population exposure estimates in the illustration in order to estimate the associated fatality levels.

This paper appeared in TRB State of the Art Report 3, Recent Advances in Hazardous Materials Transportation Research: An International Exchange. Papers presented at the conference held in Lake Buena Vista, Florida, 10-13 November 1985. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

p. 53-59

1986

State-of-the-Art Report

0-309-03973-8

Digital/other

Figures (1) ; References (9) ; Tables (3)

Crash exposure; Crashes; Derailments; Distributions (Statistics); Fatalities; Hazardous materials; Mathematical models; Railroad transportation; Risk assessment; Spills (Pollution)

Exposure

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Railroads; Safety and Human Factors; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

TRIS, TRB

Aug 31 1986 12:00AM

• ACCIDENTAL RELEASE FROM RADIOACTIVE WASTE PACKAGES
• AUTOMAN: AN INFORMATION SYSTEM
• CODE OF PRACTICE FOR WAREHOUSE AND TERMINAL FACILITIES STORING HAZARDOUS MATERIALS
• DEVELOPING A PLAN FOR R&D IN DANGEROUS GOODS TRANSPORT
• DEVELOPMENT OF A UNIVERSAL EMERGENCY ACTION GUIDE SYSTEM TO ENHANCE RESPONSE EFFECTIVENESS AND SAFETY
• ESTABLISHING HAZARDOUS MATERIALS TRUCK ROUTES FOR SHIPMENTS THROUGH THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH AREA
• FHWA REPORT: PREVENTION AND CONTROL OF HIGHWAY TUNNEL FIRES
• FIRST RESPONDERS AND THEIR INITIAL BEHAVIOR IN HAZARDOUS CHEMICAL TRANSPORTATION ACCIDENTS
• HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR A LIQUID PROPANE PIPELINE
• HAZARDOUS MATERIALS SAFETY THROUGH RESEARCH: THE SOUTH AFRICAN EXPERIENCE
• HOW TO DETERMINE THE DANGEROUS PROPERTIES OF SUBSTANCES
• INTEGRATION OF HAZARDOUS MATERIALS EMERGENCY PLANNING INTO THE SMALL-TOWN PLANNING PROCESS
• KEY FOR MIXED LOADINGS OF DANGEROUS GOODS
• LOW-PROFILE TRAILER TANK
• RECENT ADVANCES IN HAZARDOUS MATERIALS TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH: AN INTERNATIONAL EXCHANGE. PAPERS PRESENTED AT THE CONFERENCE HELD IN LAKE BUENA VISTA, FLORIDA, NOVEMBER 10-13, 1985
• RISK ASSESSMENT OF ALTERNATIVE TRANSPORT MODES FOR HAZARDOUS MATERIALS
• RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE TRANSPORTATION OF HAZARDOUS SUBSTANCES THROUGH ROAD TUNNELS
• ROUNDTABLE DISCUSSION OF PUBLIC CONCERNS ABOUT HAZARDOUS MATERIALS TRANSPORTATION
• ROUNDTABLE DISCUSSION OF STRATEGIC PLANNING FOR HAZARDOUS MATERIALS TRANSPORTATION SAFETY
• SAFETY OF FLAWED SEAMLESS GAS CYLINDERS
• SELECTION OF PREFERRED HIGHWAY ROUTES FOR THE SHIPMENT OF SPENT NUCLEAR FUEL BETWEEN SURRY AND NORTH ANNA POWER STATIONS IN VIRGINIA
• STOWING OF PACKAGES CONTAINING RADIOACTIVE MATERIALS ON CONVEYANCES
• STRATEGIC PLANNING FOR HAZARDOUS MATERIALS TRANSPORTATION SAFETY
• TANKER ACCIDENT RATES AND EXPECTED CONSEQUENCES IN U.S. PORTS AND HIGH SEAS REGIONS
• TEST MACHINE FOR MEASURING HEAT TRANSFER
• USE OF RISK ANALYSIS IN ENHANCING THE SAFETY OF TRANSPORTING HAZARDOUS LIQUEFIED GASES