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Title:

The Relationship Between Metro Stations and Neighborhood Crime: The Case of San Francisco, California

Accession Number:

01763517

Record Type:

Component

Abstract:

Crime on public transit is receiving increasing attention in the United States. Contrary to the well-known positive impact, there is a hypothesis that station has a negative external impact that provides criminals with access to the community. This paper conducts a statistical analysis of criminal incidents occurred over a 15-year period in the Muni Metro Transit District of San Francisco. The authors estimate the effect of the opening of 18 stations in 2007 in line Third Street on four types of per-capita crime incidences using a Difference in Differences (DID) propensity score weighted regression model. The reported incidents of four types of crime and the total crime are tracked for each census tract zone over four years preceding the opening of the muni metro stations and eleven years after the intervention. Three different treatment indicators (dummy variable, distance from the contour to the nearest station, distance from the centroid to the nearest station) are explored to examine the effect of the introduction of a new station on the neighborhood crime. The results show that the direction of the three indicators are roughly the same reflecting the opening of the new line will lead to more crimes, however the significant level is different. Especially, more significant negative impact is found on the sex relevant crimes. The analysis can help the government take some actions to reallocate the police resources and redesign some ambient physical facilities during the construction of new station.

Supplemental Notes:

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AP080 Standing Committee on Transit Safety And Security.

Report/Paper Numbers:

TRBAM-21-02159

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

Authors:

Yu, Lu
Li, Hao

Pagination:

17p

Publication Date:

2021

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 100th Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2021-1-5 to 2021-1-29
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board; Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

Digital/other

Features:

Figures; References (14) ; Tables

Geographic Terms:

San Francisco (California)

Subject Areas:

Operations and Traffic Management; Public Transportation; Safety and Human Factors; Security and Emergencies

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2021 Paper #TRBAM-21-02159

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Dec 23 2020 11:03AM