00334190

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...s/trr/1980/775/775-004.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...Ruhl&publication_year=1980

A strategy study is described that was undertaken in the Netherlands in order to develop and test transport policies. The transport context was that of the decline of the traditional Dutch bicycle mode, since trip distances have increased, and the growth of car use, which has led to more-dangerous and congested traveling conditions. Promotion of bicycling and public transport and restraint of car use were therefore policy objectives. In the most recent study completed for preparation of policies for the early 1980's, a demand model was employed that used disaggregate data from the Amsterdam area collected in 1976. Several different strategies were investigated for shifting traffic from car to bicycle or public transport. Particular care was taken to ensure that policies tested were both technically and economically feasible. The findings indicate a number of interesting policy considerations. Aggregate study tests showed a considerable sensitivity to bicycle disutility; i.e., quicker or more-pleasant conditions caused a considerable shift toward the mode. Changes in the quality of public transport did not generally show much potential increase in demand, with the exception of one area of deficiency in Amsterdam in which improvements in the network produced a 10 percent increase in public transport use but car traffic decreased only 2 percent. The study indicated that an important influence on car use might be the introduction on an extensive scale of company buses, vanpools, and other similar arrangements. The economic feasibility of this option was not tested, however. The results of the study have to be looked at with some care, given some doubts as to the explanatory power of the models used. It is hoped that in future strategy studies a model can be used that will be based on a real understanding of the decision processes.

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Passenger Travel Demand Forecasting. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

01411594

pp 17-21

1980

Transportation Research Record

59th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board

0309031192

Print

References (11)

Automobile travel; Bicycles; Incentives; Mathematical models; Modal diversion; Public transit; Ridesharing; Transportation planning; Transportation policy; Travel demand; Urban transportation; Utilization

Netherlands

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Public Transportation; Research; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

TRIS, TRB

Oct 28 1981 12:00AM

• ASSESSMENT OF LAND-USE AND SOCIOECONOMIC FORECASTS IN THE BALTIMORE REGION
• CAR-OWNERSHIP FORECASTING TECHNIQUES IN GREAT BRITAIN
• COMPONENTS OF CHANGE IN URBAN TRAVEL
• MODEL SPECIFICATION, MODAL AGGREGATION, AND MARKET SEGMENTATION IN MODE-CHOICE MODELS: SOME EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
• NETWORK EQUILIBRATION WITH ELASTIC DEMANDS
• NONRESPONSE PROBLEM IN TRAVEL SURVEYS: AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION
• SIMPLE EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS OF THE DEDICATION OF A FREEWAY LANE TO EXCLUSIVE BUS USE
• STUDY OF THE TRANSPORTATION CORRIDOR BETWEEN RIO DE JANEIRO, SAO PAULO, AND CAMPINAS
• TRAVEL DEMAND FORECASTING BY USING THE NESTED MULTINOMIAL LOGIT MODEL
• USE OF INCREMENTAL FORM OF LOGIT MODELS IN DEMAND ANALYSIS