01595127

Component

More and more people visit mass events, while also the number of mass events is increasing. Mass events in urban space have only limited infrastructure available, and are thus more subject to risk of crowd disaster. This paper proposes a crowd management framework for mitigating risks of crowd disasters at mass events in the public urban space. The framework consists of six steps, with the final aim to quantify the consequences of measures near bottlenecks. The most important elements of the framework are the layered crowd disaster model (showing how the traffic situation might develop into a crowd disaster), and the scenario measure charts (showing which preventive measures may be applied in which situation). The risk of crowd disasters is calculated as the product of the level-of-service and the duration of this level-of-service. The advice provided in this evaluation tool incorporates stakeholders’ tolerance towards risks, using a multi criteria analysis in which the weights for the various assessment criteria can be adapted to the situation at hand. The output of the framework is suitable for tactical decision-making upon risk mitigation strategies for mass events in the public urban space.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AHB45 Standing Committee on Traffic Flow Theory and Characteristics. Alternate title: Framework to Mitigate Risk of Crowd Disasters at Mass Events in Public Urban Space

01584066

16-4903

English

11p

2016

Transportation Research Board 95th Annual Meeting

Digital/other

Figures; References; Tables

Crowds; Decision making; Public land; Risk; Special events; Traffic congestion; Urban areas

Operations and Traffic Management; Pedestrians and Bicyclists

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2016 Paper #16-4903

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 12 2016 6:08PM