01590272

Component

https://doi.org/10.3141/2565-12

Early indications of a significant generational change in travel behavior have raised hopes of robust growth in transit use in the immediate future, especially as the millennial generation comes of age. The eventual transition to family life and child rearing, however, has led to significant declines in the transit use rates of older-age cohorts. For high transit-use rates of millennials to be durable, the relationship between the presence of children and travel behavior must change. Despite lower rates of automobile ownership by millennials than by previous cohorts, automobile ownership is still widespread: increased attraction of choice riders is important for growth in transit use as well. This study looks for changes in the basic relationship between the presence of young children or automobile access and the probability of transit use from 2000 to 2010 on the basis of data from the decennial Travel Behavior Inventory by the Metropolitan Council of the Twin Cities in Minnesota. Pooled logistic regression models at both the trip and person level find that automobile access was a weaker negative predictor of transit use in 2010 and that the presence of young children in participants’ households negatively predicted transit use in 2000 but not in 2010. Chow tests establish that these observed changes represent significant changes in the mode choice relationships in question. The results call for research on similar potential changes in other regions and underscore the importance of family-oriented housing and community features in transit-served areas.

01609830

16-3558

English

pp 103–110

2016

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

9780309369879

Print

References (27) ; Tables (5)

Automobile travel; Children; Families; Mode choice; Public transit; Travel behavior

Twin Cities Metropolitan Area (Minnesota)

Data and Information Technology; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Society; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 12 2016 5:33PM

• Effect of Traveler’s Nationality on Daily Travel Time Expenditure Using Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Regression Models: Results from Belgian National Household Travel Survey
• Full-Scale Controlled Comparison of Alternative Information Formats for Stated Choice Exercises
• Handling Intrahousehold Correlations in Modeling Travel: Comparison of Hierarchical Models and Marginal Models
• Incentivizing Modal Change: Exploring Effect of Multimodal Information and Ticketing Systems for Medium and Long Distances in Europe
• It’s a Matter of Time: Assessment of Additional Time Budgeted for Commuting to McGill University Across Modes
• Life-Oriented Approach of Modeling Commute Mode Loyalty and Transition Behavior
• Modeling Travel Tool Ownership of the Elderly Population: Latent Segmentation-Based Logit Model
• Self-Driving Vehicles: Determinants of Adoption and Conditions of Usage
• Short-Term Adaptations as a Response to Travel Time Increases: Results of Stated-Adaptation Experiment
• Travelers’ Risk-Taking Behaviors in Day-to-Day Dynamic Evolution Model
• Valuation of Travel Time Reliability Accommodating Heterogeneity of Route Choice Behaviors