01559863

Component

This paper presents a methodology to investigate the temporal evolution of cycling and the role of built environment. More specifically, the authors aim at exploring how commuting cycling modal share has evolved across neighborhood types between 1998 and 2008 in Montreal. The authors use two main approaches to explore the effects of neighborhood characteristics on cycling and its growth: (i) a binary logit model; and (ii) a simultaneous equation model. One of the key findings is the general increase in the likelihood to cycle over time in the study region. Specifically, urban and urban-suburb areas have been experiencing the greatest growth with increases of 2.5% and 1.6% from 1998 to 2008, respectively. The built environment of the study region has not evolved significantly during the 10-year study period. As a result, The authors conclude that the observed change in cycling activity is explained by attitudinal and cultural changes in the population over time. However, the choice of neighborhood type significantly affects cycling. In fact, living in downtown, inner suburb, and outer suburb in comparison to living in urban-suburb decreases the likelihood to cycle to work by 58, 20, and 11 percent, respectively. Promotional efforts by local municipalities and agencies, such as improving safety, campaigns, etc., appear to have positively influenced cycling activity. In terms of individual-level socio-demographics, the authors found that gender, age and employment status influenced cycling levels. As expected, an increase in the distance to nearest cycling facilities from residence reduces the probability of individuals choosing to cycle to work.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ANF20 Bicycle Transportation. Alternate title: Exploring the Evolution Effects of Neighborhood Typologies on Cycling.

01550057

15-4710

English

22p

2015

Transportation Research Board 94th Annual Meeting

Digital/other

Figures; References; Tables

Bicycle commuting; Built environment; Logits; Neighborhoods; Simultaneous equations; Suburbs; Urban areas

Sociodemographics

Montreal (Canada)

Pedestrians and Bicyclists; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2015 Paper #15-4710

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Dec 30 2014 1:33PM