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Title:

Real-Time Travel Time Prediction Framework for Departure Time and Route Advice

Accession Number:

01557022

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

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Washington, DC 20001 United States
Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/173418.aspx

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309369206

Abstract:

Heavily used urban networks remain a challenge for travel time prediction because traffic flow is rarely homogeneous and is also subject to a wide variety of disturbances. Various models, some of which use traffic flow theory and some of which are data driven, have been developed to predict traffic flow and travel times. Many of these perform well under set conditions. However, few perform well under all or even most urban traffic conditions. As part of the Amsterdam Practical Trial, a comprehensive field operation test for traffic management, a real-time travel time prediction framework, was developed to make use of an ensemble of traffic modeling techniques to predict travel times with great accuracy for arterial roads as well as urban roads. The various models in the framework include both traffic theoretical models and data-driven approaches, making use of some of the largest real-time traffic data sets currently available to limit errors to less than 20% for any time of day or week. The impending implementation of the framework sets it at the forefront of practical real-time implementation of urban travel time prediction.

Monograph Accession #:

01582745

Report/Paper Numbers:

15-3916

Language:

English

Authors:

Calvert, Simeon C
Snelder, Maaike
Bakri, Taoufik
Heijligers, Bjorn
Knoop, Victor L

Pagination:

pp 56–64

Publication Date:

2015

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2490
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309369206

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures (4) ; References (21)

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Dec 30 2014 1:17PM

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