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Title:

Data as a resource: real-time predictive analytics for bus bunching
Cover of Data as a resource: real-time predictive analytics for bus bunching

Accession Number:

01551156

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Abstract:

This paper outlines the results of an eight week pilot program in Miami that provided a real-time system to predict bus bunching along four routes. Bunching refers to the phenomenon of two buses serving the same route arriving at a stop at the same time. Desired service headways are not maintained in such cases leading to lower levels of service for passengers on account of longer wait times and lower utilization of resources for operators. Predictions of when and where bus bunching is likely to occur in the future equip controllers with tools to regularize headways in an anticipative fashion. The ‘best-effort’ prediction system works in an entirely data-driven fashion and leverages, in part, a historical catalog of bus propagation. Applications in performance management and schedule optimization are also presented.

Supplemental Notes:

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AP050 Bus Transit Systems.

Monograph Accession #:

01550057

Report/Paper Numbers:

15-2129

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Nair, Rahul
Bouillet, Eric
Gkoufas, Yiannis
Verscheure, Olivier
Mourad, Magda
Yashar, Farzin
Perez, Rosie
Perez, Joel
Bryant, Gerald

Pagination:

23p

Publication Date:

2015

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 94th Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2015-1-11 to 2015-1-15
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

Digital/other

Features:

Figures; References; Tables

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Data and Information Technology; Operations and Traffic Management; Public Transportation; I73: Traffic Control

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2015 Paper #15-2129

Files:

PRP, TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Dec 30 2014 12:45PM