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Title:

Multilevel Logistic Regression Modeling for Crash Mapping in Metropolitan Areas

Accession Number:

01550134

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309369367

Abstract:

The spatial nature of traffic crashes makes crash locations one of the most important and informative attributes of crash databases. It is, however, very likely that crash locations recorded in terms of easting and northing coordinates, distances from junctions, addresses, road names, and types are inaccurately reported. Improving the quality of crash location mapping therefore has the potential to enhance the accuracy of many spatial crash analyses. Determination of correct crash locations usually requires a combination of crash and network attributes with suitable crash-mapping methods. Urban road networks are more sensitive to erroneous matches because of high road density and inherent complexity. A novel crash-mapping method is presented; it is suitable for urban and metropolitan areas and matches all the crashes that occurred in London from 2010 to 2012. The method is based on a hierarchical data structure of crashes (i.e., candidate road links are nested within vehicles and vehicles are nested within crashes) and employs a multilevel logistic regression model to estimate the probability distribution of mapping a crash onto a set of candidate road links. The road link with the highest probability is considered to be the correct segment for mapping the crash. This method is based on two primary variables: (a) distance between the crash location and a candidate segment and (b) difference between the vehicle direction just before the collision and the link direction. Despite the fact that road names were not considered because of the limited availability of this variable in the applied crash database, the developed method provides 97.1% (±1%) accurate matches (N = 1,000). The method was compared with two simpler, nonprobabilistic crash-mapping algorithms, and the results were used to demonstrate the effect of crash location data quality on a crash risk analysis.

Monograph Accession #:

01590073

Report/Paper Numbers:

15-0216

Language:

English

Authors:

Imprialou, Maria-Ioanna M
Quddus, Mohammed
Pitfield, David E

Pagination:

pp 39–47

Publication Date:

2015

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2514
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309369367

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures (3) ; Maps; References (23) ; Tables (2)

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Data and Information Technology; Highways; Safety and Human Factors; I80: Accident Studies; I81: Accident Statistics; I82: Accidents and Transport Infrastructure

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Dec 30 2014 12:13PM

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