01519464

Component

This paper makes use of a System Dynamics model to understand the behaviour of a para-transit mode, commercial motorcycle, in Nigeria where data availability is a challenge. Commercial motorcycle service is the use of motorcycles for carrying passengers for a fare. A system dynamics modelling method is adopted for its capacity to describe and analyse systems and their dynamic behaviour in both quantitative and qualitative manner. In this paper, a system dynamic model is used to develop the trend of risk taking behaviour and deterrence amidst commercial motorcycle riders. As a first step, qualitative data was obtained from stakeholders in the operation of the mode. With emphasis on the safety challenge of this para-transit mode, the qualitative data obtained together with literature on commercial motorcycle was used to develop a system dynamics model to show the interactions among the elements of the system. The model analysis revealed that a system dynamics model is a good tool for describing the behaviour of system parameters which may not usually appear in traditional models but may be responsible for the system’s behaviour leading into negative impacts on society.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AP060 Paratransit. Alternate title: Using System Dynamics to Understand the Safety Problem of a Paratransport Mode.

01503729

14-5651

English

15p

2014

Transportation Research Board 93rd Annual Meeting

Digital/other

Figures; References; Tables

Economic and social factors; Motorcycle crashes; Motorcyclists; Paratransit services; Risk taking; Transit safety

Nigeria

Public Transportation; Safety and Human Factors; I83: Accidents and the Human Factor

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2014 Paper #14-5651

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 27 2014 3:58PM