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Title:

Backcasting Necessary Mass-Transit Development to Achieve Drastic CO2 Mitigation in Urban Passenger Transport in Asian Developing Megacities

Accession Number:

01520009

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Abstract:

In Asian developing countries, car transport demand and consequent emissions have rapidly increased from significant growth in the economy and urban population. To tackle the global climate-change problem, long-term measures are required for them to reduce drastic amount of CO2 emissions from transport. Development of mass-transit systems is one of key low-carbon transport measures. A mass-transit system is a low-carbon transport system not only because their transport capacity is large, but also because it can slow the process of urban sprawl and motorization. In this study, the authors backcast a necessary scale of mass-transit development to achieve the target of CO2 mitigation in Asian developing megacities, taking account of the long-term impacts of development on urban sprawl and motorization. The long-term impact of mass-transit development on motorization is modeled in a general way by capturing the impact of development timing in growing cities. In addition, the authors estimate the demand of mass-transit use based on population density to decide the suitable type of a mass-transit system, such as urban heavy railways and light railways, in terms of the capability of transport. The amount of long-term CO2 reduction from mass-transit development is estimated with a method of Life Cycle Assessment, including infrastructure construction and transit operation.

Supplemental Notes:

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ADB40 Transportation Demand Forecasting. Alternate title: Backcasting Necessary Mass Transit Development to Achieve Drastic CO2 Mitigation in Urban Passenger Transport in Asian Developing Mega-Cities

Monograph Accession #:

01503729

Report/Paper Numbers:

14-4952

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Ito, Kei
Nakamura, Kazuki
Kato, Hirokazu
Hayashi, Yoshitsugu

Pagination:

11p

Publication Date:

2014

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 93rd Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC
Date: 2014-1-12 to 2014-1-16
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

Digital/other

Features:

Figures; References; Tables

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Environment; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; I15: Environment; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2014 Paper #14-4952

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Jan 27 2014 3:44PM