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Title:

Prediction of Driver Action at Signalized Intersections by Using a Nested Logit Model

Accession Number:

01518178

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

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Washington, DC 20001 United States
Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/172117.aspx

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309295574

Abstract:

The primary objective of this research was to identify factors that influenced whether a vehicle would stop or proceed through, either legally or illegally, during the yellow indication when the vehicle was approaching a signalized intersection. For this objective to be accomplished, naturalistic driver behavioral data were collected at 72 signalized intersection approaches selected from four regions of the United States. Data were obtained for 6,208 vehicles that were approaching a study intersection during the yellow interval. With these data, a nested logit model was developed to investigate the influence of various factors on the likelihood that a driver approaching a signalized intersection during the yellow interval would stop, would proceed through legally, or would commit red light running (RLR). The nested logit model represented an improvement over prior binary logistic regression models, because it allowed the simultaneous estimation of all three potential driver actions. With the use of this model, RLR was determined to be more likely to occur under the following conditions: (a) the duration of the yellow interval was equal to or less than 4.5 s, (b) the subject vehicle was part of a platoon, (c) the approach speed limit was less than or equal to 40 mph, (d) the subject vehicle was farther from the intersection at the onset of the yellow indication, or (e) the subject vehicle approached at a lower rate of speed. The results may be used to improve the accuracy of algorithms for real-time prediction of RLR, including those used in conjunction with traffic signal phase extension systems.

Monograph Title:

Traffic Control Devices 2014

Monograph Accession #:

01556287

Report/Paper Numbers:

14-0942

Language:

English

Authors:

Gates, Timothy J
Savolainen, Peter T
Maria, Honey-Um

Pagination:

pp 10–15

Publication Date:

2014

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2463
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309295574

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures (5) ; References (19) ; Tables (2)

Subject Areas:

Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Safety and Human Factors; I73: Traffic Control; I83: Accidents and the Human Factor

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Jan 27 2014 2:23PM

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