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Title:

Statistical Analysis and Development of Crash Prediction Model for Roundabouts on High-Speed Rural Roadways

Accession Number:

01372495

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States
Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/168497.aspx

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309263108

Abstract:

Roundabouts have proved to be effective in urban and suburban environments in the United States, but little has been reported on the effectiveness of roundabouts in rural environments on high-speed roadways. There is no question that roundabouts reduce the speeds of all vehicles at intersections and reduce the frequency of fatal and injury-related crashes. This research is the first comprehensive look at roundabouts in a rural environment with high-speed approaches. Nineteen intersections had ample comprehensive crash data to be evaluated and analyzed for safety performance. The findings validated the hypothesis that roundabouts in a rural environment as well as roundabouts in urban and suburban environments outperformed other intersection safety improvements. A before-and-after crash analysis was conducted for the 19 intersections by using a negative binomial regression model. Results showed statistically significant reductions for the total number of crashes (63%) and injury crashes (88%) when roundabouts were implemented. A before-and-after empirical Bayes estimation was also conducted, and the results were consistent, indicating a 62% to 67% reduction in total crashes and an 85% to 87% reduction in injury crashes at these rural intersections. Furthermore, results showed that injury-producing crash types, such as the angle crash, were reduced by 91%, and were statistically significant. Finally, this research produced crash prediction models at planning level for total and injury crashes at rural roundabouts on high-speed roadways. This supplements the models produced in NCHRP Report 572: "Roundabouts in the United States" and reported in the AASHTO "Highway Safety Manual."

Monograph Accession #:

01470175

Report/Paper Numbers:

12-4191

Language:

English

Authors:

Isebrands, Hillary
Hallmark, Shauna

Pagination:

pp 3–13

Publication Date:

2012

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2312
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309263108

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures; References; Tables

Subject Areas:

Design; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Safety and Human Factors; I82: Accidents and Transport Infrastructure

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Feb 8 2012 5:22PM

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