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Title:

Comparison of Time-Dependent Sequential Logit and Nested Logit for Modeling Hurricane Evacuation Demand

Accession Number:

01363057

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States
Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/168497.aspx

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309263108

Abstract:

Models that predict hurricane evacuation demand can play a crucial role in developing and evaluating alternative evacuation policies and plans. However, to evaluate alternative policies effectively, evacuation demand models should be sensitive to time varying characteristics of a storm and the contextual conditions surrounding an evacuee. The time-dependent sequential logit is one such model, but it makes use of restrictive assumptions about the dynamic choices made by evacuees. A new model, a time-dependent nested logit model, relaxes those assumptions. It was formulated and derived in this study, and its performance was then compared with that of the time-dependent sequential logit model by applying both models to data from Hurricane Gustav. The results indicated that the time-dependent nested logit model has better predictive capability than the time-dependent sequential logit model.

Monograph Accession #:

01470175

Report/Paper Numbers:

12-3959

Language:

English

Authors:

Gudishala, Ravindra
Wilmot, Chester

Pagination:

pp 134–140

Publication Date:

2012

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2312
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309263108

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures; References; Tables

Identifier Terms:

Uncontrolled Terms:

Subject Areas:

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Security and Emergencies; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Feb 8 2012 5:20PM

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