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Title:

Impacts of Maritime Transportation Risk on Maritime Traffic Flows and Regional Economies: The Case Study at the Straits of Malacca and Singapore
Cover of Impacts of Maritime Transportation Risk on Maritime Traffic Flows and Regional Economies: The Case Study at the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Accession Number:

01366618

Record Type:

Component

Abstract:

This paper analyzes the vulnerability of the Straits of Malacca and Singapore (SoMS) to maritime risks. The impacts of the risk events on international cargo flows, the transshipment at major ports, and domestic economies are simulated with an international cargo traffic simulation model and a spatial general equilibrium model. Both container cargos and dry/liquid cargos are covered in the simulation analysis. The following three cases are analyzed: sea-lane blockade at the SoMS, stop of the service at Singapore Port, and increase of loading/unloading time at all ports in the world. Results show that the risks which occur at the SoMS impact the economies in all of Asia; container carriers may change transshipment ports—from littoral ports to other East Asian ports—if the risk events were to actually occur; and the economic impacts of the risk events depend on the cases and the countries. Finally, the implication to maritime security policy is discussed.

Supplemental Notes:

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AW010(2) AW010 Paper Review Subcommittee

Monograph Accession #:

01362476

Report/Paper Numbers:

12-0821

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Nakamuara, Kenta
Ogawa, Yukihiro
Kato, Hironori
Shibasaki, Ryuichi

Pagination:

14p

Publication Date:

2012

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 91st Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2012-1-22 to 2012-1-26
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

Digital/other

Features:

Appendices; Figures; References; Tables

Geographic Terms:

Singapore Strait; Strait of Malacca

Subject Areas:

Freight Transportation; Marine Transportation; Operations and Traffic Management; Security and Emergencies; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2012 Paper #12-0821

Files:

PRP, TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Feb 8 2012 4:57PM