01340314

Component

The Singapore Strait has some unique features, which make the Strait significantly different from the Malacca Strait. It is considered as the bottleneck and chokepoint of the maritime transportation connecting the Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean. It is important for the maritime authorities to capture a picture of ship movements in the Straits when the traffic volume has been increased. Towards this end, this paper proposes a Cellular Automata model based simulation approach for the Singapore Strait which takes interactions between consecutive ships into consideration by a ship interaction model. Discrete event models are applied to generate vessels with different categories and velocities from four portals of the Strait. 10 ship following rules and 5 ship crossing rules, which are derived from expert judgment and the interviews to ship captains, are used to simulate the mariners' response to various navigational scenarios. The model is verified by comparing the actual travel time through the Strait and the time derived from the model. At last, applications of the model are also illustrated.

01329018

11-0881

English

15p

2011

Transportation Research Board 90th Annual Meeting

DVD

Figures (8) ; References (24) ; Tables (4)

Bottlenecks; Cellular automata; Maritime safety; Mathematical models; Shipping; Ships; Traffic density; Traffic simulation; Traffic volume; Water traffic

Strait of Singapore

Data and Information Technology; Marine Transportation; Operations and Traffic Management; I71: Traffic Theory; I73: Traffic Control

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2011 Paper #11-0881

TRIS, TRB

Feb 17 2011 5:36PM