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Title:

Multiagent Simulation in Transport: Impacts of CO2 Emission Trading Scheme in German Transport

Accession Number:

01126820

Language:

English

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2009 Paper #09-1433

Abstract:

To attempt to counter the possible impacts of global warming, the European Union decided to ratify the Kyoto Protocol and promised to reduce its carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by 8% until 2010 compared to 1990. One of the policies which has been implemented to do so is the European Emission Trading Scheme for CO2 certificates. So far, the transport sector, which contributes around 28% of European CO2 emissions, has been exempted from the ETS, although a further increase of CO2 emissions from the transport sector is expected for the following years. Furthermore this is the only sector in which emissions have increased (by about 32% since 1990). This article aims to show that behavioral multi-agent models are a suitable approach for assessing the impact of policy instruments to reduce CO2 emissions in road transport by introducing a multi agent model for the German road transport sector. A hypothetical CO2 emission trading scheme with an open and a closed alternative is applied to a Java-based simulated transport sector. The effects on certificate prices and fuel demand are calculated with respect to the individual reaction functions of households and carriers. It becomes apparent that the willingness-to-pay of households for prestigious (but fuel-inefficient) cars is (from the current perspective) more reasonable than real technical mitigation costs in other sectors. Thus in the open trading scheme without major changes in transport demand the main effect will be steady CO2 emissions in road transport but high payments to other sectors for mitigation.

TRIS Files:

ATRIS, HRIS, MRIS, RRIS, UMTRIS

Report Numbers:

09-1433

Media Type:

DVD

Pagination:

15p

Authors:

Jochem, Patrick Eberhard Pascal

jochem@iww.uni-karlsruhe.de
Universitat Karlsruhe, Germany

Monograph Accession #:

01120148

Publication Date:

2009

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 88th Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC
Date: 2009/1/11 to 2009/1/15
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 USA

Availability:

Find a library where document is available

Order URL: http://worldcat.org/oclc/6

Features:

Figures (3) ; References (35)

Index Terms:

Carbon dioxide; Emission reduction programs; Emissions trading; Energy efficiency; Exhaust gases; Germany; Global warming; Kyoto Accord; Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change; Multiagent control systems; Pollutants; Transportation; Willingness to pay

Subject Areas:

Environment; Transportation (General); I15: Environment

Last Modified:

Apr 17 2009 9:56AM